🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Sweden vs Greece
Jun 04, 05:00 PM · Strawberry Arena
○ Normal PREDICTION
Sweden Home Win
41%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Sweden41%
Draw23%
Greece36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)64%
Under 2.5 (0-2)36%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes65%
BTTS: No35%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Sweden vs Greece — Sweden Home Win: 41%. λ (Home): 1.72 · λ (Away): 1.58.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.