🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Tajikistan vs Palestine
Jun 01, 01:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Tajikistan Home Win
37%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Tajikistan37%
Draw29%
Palestine34%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)37%
Under 2.5 (0-2)63%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes44%
BTTS: No56%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Tajikistan vs Palestine — Tajikistan Home Win: 37%. λ (Home): 1.11 · λ (Away): 1.06.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.