🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Thailand vs Kuwait
Jun 05, 12:30 PM · BG Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Thailand Home Win
39%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Thailand39%
Draw25%
Kuwait36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)54%
Under 2.5 (0-2)46%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
6.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Thailand vs Kuwait — Thailand Home Win: 39%. λ (Home): 1.44 · λ (Away): 1.39.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.