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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Togo vs Benin

Jun 09, 12:00 PM

Normal PREDICTION

Togo Home Win

42%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Togo42%
Draw28%
Benin29%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)39%
Under 2.5 (0-2)61%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes45%
BTTS: No55%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

13.1%

2-1

8.3%

2-0

8.3%

Pre-match Outlook

Togo hold a slim edge over Benin in this International Friendlies match — 42% confidence puts it in the Normal tier with a 1-0 projection.

Goal expectation is balanced — λ 1.26 for Togo, λ 1.00 for Benin, total 2.26; the over/under read is under 2.5 at 61%.

In this International Friendlies context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the narrow-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Togo vs BeninTogo Home Win: 42%. λ (Home): 1.26 · λ (Away): 1.00.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.