🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Türkiye vs FYR Macedonia
Jun 01, 04:30 PM · Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Türkiye Home Win
80%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Türkiye80%
Draw14%
FYR Macedonia5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes32%
BTTS: No68%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
13.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Türkiye vs FYR Macedonia — Türkiye Home Win: 80%. λ (Home): 2.33 · λ (Away): 0.43.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.