🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
USA vs Senegal
May 31, 07:30 PM · Bank of America Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
USA Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
USA40%
Draw22%
Senegal38%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)72%
Under 2.5 (0-2)28%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes71%
BTTS: No29%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
USA vs Senegal — USA Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.88 · λ (Away): 1.83.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.