🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Wales vs Ghana
Jun 02, 06:45 PM · Cardiff City Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Wales Home Win
45%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Wales45%
Draw24%
Ghana31%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)57%
Under 2.5 (0-2)43%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes59%
BTTS: No41%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Wales vs Ghana — Wales Home Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.64 · λ (Away): 1.31.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.