🏴 Scottish Premiership · Final
ST Mirren vs Partick
May 25, 07:00 PM · The SMISA Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Partick Away Win
52%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
ST Mirren23%
Draw25%
Partick52%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)47%
Under 2.5 (0-2)53%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes50%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
ST Mirren vs Partick — Partick Away Win: 52%. λ (Home): 0.97 · λ (Away): 1.60.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.