🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Final
Nice vs Saint Etienne
May 29, 06:45 PM · Allianz Riviera
○ Normal PREDICTION
Nice Home Win
54%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Nice54%
Draw21%
Saint Etienne25%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes65%
BTTS: No35%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Nice vs Saint Etienne — Nice Home Win: 54%. λ (Home): 2.05 · λ (Away): 1.35.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.