🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
Brighton vs Manchester United
May 24, 03:00 PM · Amex Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Brighton Home Win
42%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Brighton42%
Draw26%
Manchester United31%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Brighton vs Manchester United — Brighton Home Win: 42%. λ (Home): 1.41 · λ (Away): 1.17.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.