🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
May 24, 03:00 PM · City Ground
○ Normal PREDICTION
Nottingham Forest Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Nottingham Forest40%
Draw26%
Bournemouth34%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth — Nottingham Forest Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.36 · λ (Away): 1.24.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.