🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Bologna vs Inter
May 23, 04:00 PM · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Inter Away Win
71%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Bologna11%
Draw18%
Inter71%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
12.2%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Bologna vs Inter — Inter Away Win: 71%. λ (Home): 0.78 · λ (Away): 2.26.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.