🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Lazio vs Pisa
May 23, 06:45 PM · Stadio Olimpico
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Lazio Home Win
77%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Lazio77%
Draw15%
Pisa8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes43%
BTTS: No57%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Lazio vs Pisa — Lazio Home Win: 77%. λ (Home): 2.42 · λ (Away): 0.63.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.