🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Napoli vs Udinese
May 24, 04:00 PM · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
○ Normal PREDICTION
Napoli Home Win
38%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Napoli38%
Draw26%
Udinese36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Napoli vs Udinese — Napoli Home Win: 38%. λ (Home): 1.40 · λ (Away): 1.36.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.