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🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Napoli vs Udinese

May 24, 04:00 PM · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Normal PREDICTION

Napoli Home Win

38%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Napoli38%
Draw26%
Udinese36%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

8.9%

2-1

8.4%

2-0

6.2%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Napoli vs UdineseNapoli Home Win: 38%. λ (Home): 1.40 · λ (Away): 1.36.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.