🇮🇹 Serie A · Regular Season - 38
Parma vs Sassuolo
May 24, 01:00 PM · Stadio Ennio Tardini
○ Normal PREDICTION
Sassuolo Away Win
46%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Parma25%
Draw29%
Sassuolo46%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)35%
Under 2.5 (0-2)65%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes41%
BTTS: No59%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Parma vs Sassuolo — Sassuolo Away Win: 46%. λ (Home): 0.84 · λ (Away): 1.27.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.