🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Algeria vs Austria
Jun 28, 02:00 AM · Arrowhead Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Algeria Home Win
44%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Algeria44%
Draw23%
Austria33%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)65%
Under 2.5 (0-2)35%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes66%
BTTS: No34%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
5.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Algeria vs Austria — Algeria Home Win: 44%. λ (Home): 1.80 · λ (Away): 1.54.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.