🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Argentina vs Algeria
Jun 17, 01:00 AM · Arrowhead Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Argentina Home Win
71%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Argentina71%
Draw18%
Algeria12%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)61%
Under 2.5 (0-2)39%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes50%
BTTS: No50%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Argentina vs Algeria — Argentina Home Win: 71%. λ (Home): 2.31 · λ (Away): 0.82.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.