🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Argentina vs Austria
Jun 22, 05:00 PM
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Argentina Home Win
67%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Argentina67%
Draw19%
Austria13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)56%
Under 2.5 (0-2)44%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes48%
BTTS: No52%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Argentina vs Austria — Argentina Home Win: 67%. λ (Home): 2.10 · λ (Away): 0.80.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.