🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Australia vs Türkiye
Jun 14, 04:00 AM · BC Place
○ Normal PREDICTION
Australia Home Win
42%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Australia42%
Draw24%
Türkiye34%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes61%
BTTS: No39%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Australia vs Türkiye — Australia Home Win: 42%. λ (Home): 1.64 · λ (Away): 1.44.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.