🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Belgium vs Iran
Jun 21, 07:00 PM · SoFi Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Belgium Home Win
55%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Belgium55%
Draw21%
Iran24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)68%
Under 2.5 (0-2)32%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes66%
BTTS: No34%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Belgium vs Iran — Belgium Home Win: 55%. λ (Home): 2.14 · λ (Away): 1.38.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.