🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar
Jun 24, 07:00 PM · Lumen Field
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Bosnia & Herzegovina Home Win
58%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Bosnia & Herzegovina58%
Draw22%
Qatar20%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)57%
Under 2.5 (0-2)43%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar — Bosnia & Herzegovina Home Win: 58%. λ (Home): 1.93 · λ (Away): 1.05.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.