🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Brazil vs Haiti
Jun 20, 12:30 AM · Lincoln Financial Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Brazil Home Win
77%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Brazil77%
Draw14%
Haiti9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)68%
Under 2.5 (0-2)32%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes51%
BTTS: No49%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Brazil vs Haiti — Brazil Home Win: 77%. λ (Home): 2.69 · λ (Away): 0.79.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.