🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Brazil vs Morocco
Jun 13, 10:00 PM · MetLife Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Brazil Home Win
47%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Brazil47%
Draw25%
Morocco29%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)54%
Under 2.5 (0-2)46%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Brazil vs Morocco — Brazil Home Win: 47%. λ (Home): 1.62 · λ (Away): 1.23.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.