🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Jun 12, 07:00 PM · BMO Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Canada Home Win
72%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Canada72%
Draw19%
Bosnia & Herzegovina9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)45%
Under 2.5 (0-2)55%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes35%
BTTS: No65%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-0
10.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina — Canada Home Win: 72%. λ (Home): 1.95 · λ (Away): 0.52.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.