🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Canada vs Qatar
Jun 18, 10:00 PM · BC Place
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Canada Home Win
85%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Canada85%
Draw13%
Qatar3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)46%
Under 2.5 (0-2)54%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes19%
BTTS: No81%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
21.0%
1-0
18.3%
3-0
16.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Canada vs Qatar — Canada Home Win: 85%. λ (Home): 2.30 · λ (Away): 0.23.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.