🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
Jun 27, 12:00 AM · NRG Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Cape Verde Islands Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Cape Verde Islands40%
Draw35%
Saudi Arabia25%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)21%
Under 2.5 (0-2)79%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes29%
BTTS: No71%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia — Cape Verde Islands Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 0.92 · λ (Away): 0.67.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.