🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Colombia vs Congo DR
Jun 24, 02:00 AM · Estadio Akron
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Colombia Home Win
73%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Colombia73%
Draw19%
Congo DR8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)42%
Under 2.5 (0-2)58%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes31%
BTTS: No69%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.0%
2-0
17.3%
3-0
11.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Colombia vs Congo DR — Colombia Home Win: 73%. λ (Home): 1.92 · λ (Away): 0.45.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.