🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Jun 27, 11:30 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Congo DR Home Win
38%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Congo DR38%
Draw35%
Uzbekistan26%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)21%
Under 2.5 (0-2)79%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes29%
BTTS: No71%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan — Congo DR Home Win: 38%. λ (Home): 0.89 · λ (Away): 0.68.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.