🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Jun 25, 08:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field
○ Normal PREDICTION
Ivory Coast Away Win
54%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Curaçao16%
Draw29%
Ivory Coast54%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)28%
Under 2.5 (0-2)72%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes31%
BTTS: No69%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
20.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-2
7.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast — Ivory Coast Away Win: 54%. λ (Home): 0.57 · λ (Away): 1.29.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.