🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Czech Republic vs Mexico
Jun 25, 01:00 AM · Estadio Azteca
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Mexico Away Win
58%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Czech Republic17%
Draw26%
Mexico58%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)38%
Under 2.5 (0-2)62%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-2
8.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Czech Republic vs Mexico — Mexico Away Win: 58%. λ (Home): 0.68 · λ (Away): 1.52.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.