🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Czech Republic vs South Africa
Jun 18, 04:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Czech Republic Home Win
53%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Czech Republic53%
Draw22%
South Africa25%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)61%
Under 2.5 (0-2)39%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes60%
BTTS: No40%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Czech Republic vs South Africa — Czech Republic Home Win: 53%. λ (Home): 1.90 · λ (Away): 1.23.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.