🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Egypt vs Iran
Jun 27, 03:00 AM · Lumen Field
○ Normal PREDICTION
Iran Away Win
36%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Egypt35%
Draw29%
Iran36%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)38%
Under 2.5 (0-2)62%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes44%
BTTS: No56%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Egypt vs Iran — Iran Away Win: 36%. λ (Home): 1.08 · λ (Away): 1.11.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.