🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
England vs Ghana
Jun 23, 08:00 PM · Gillette Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
England Home Win
75%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
England75%
Draw16%
Ghana9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)58%
Under 2.5 (0-2)42%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes44%
BTTS: No56%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
13.6%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
10.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
England vs Ghana — England Home Win: 75%. λ (Home): 2.36 · λ (Away): 0.66.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.