🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
France vs Iraq
Jun 22, 09:00 PM · Lincoln Financial Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
France Home Win
88%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
France88%
Draw11%
Iraq1%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)46%
Under 2.5 (0-2)54%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes12%
BTTS: No88%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
22.8%
1-0
19.1%
3-0
18.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
France vs Iraq — France Home Win: 88%. λ (Home): 2.38 · λ (Away): 0.14.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.