🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
France vs Senegal
Jun 16, 07:00 PM · MetLife Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
France Home Win
63%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
France63%
Draw18%
Senegal19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)72%
Under 2.5 (0-2)28%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes66%
BTTS: No34%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
France vs Senegal — France Home Win: 63%. λ (Home): 2.44 · λ (Away): 1.29.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.