🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Ghana vs Panama
Jun 17, 11:00 PM · BMO Field
○ Normal PREDICTION
Panama Away Win
38%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Ghana36%
Draw25%
Panama38%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)54%
Under 2.5 (0-2)46%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes57%
BTTS: No43%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
6.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Ghana vs Panama — Panama Away Win: 38%. λ (Home): 1.39 · λ (Away): 1.44.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.