🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Haiti vs Scotland
Jun 14, 01:00 AM · Gillette Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Scotland Away Win
45%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Haiti31%
Draw25%
Scotland45%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)55%
Under 2.5 (0-2)45%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes58%
BTTS: No42%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Haiti vs Scotland — Scotland Away Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.28 · λ (Away): 1.60.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.