🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Iran vs New Zealand
Jun 16, 01:00 AM · SoFi Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Iran Home Win
51%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Iran51%
Draw25%
New Zealand24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)50%
Under 2.5 (0-2)50%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Iran vs New Zealand — Iran Home Win: 51%. λ (Home): 1.62 · λ (Away): 1.04.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.