🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Iraq vs Norway
Jun 16, 10:00 PM · Gillette Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Norway Away Win
70%
Predicted score: 0-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Iraq13%
Draw17%
Norway70%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Iraq vs Norway — Norway Away Win: 70%. λ (Home): 0.94 · λ (Away): 2.44.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.