goalence

🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Jordan vs Algeria

Jun 23, 03:00 AM

Normal PREDICTION

Algeria Away Win

47%

Predicted score: 1-2

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Jordan30%
Draw23%
Algeria47%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes61%
BTTS: No39%

Most Likely Scores

1-2

9.3%

0-1

8.0%

0-2

7.0%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Jordan vs AlgeriaAlgeria Away Win: 47%. λ (Home): 1.34 · λ (Away): 1.74.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.