🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Morocco vs Haiti
Jun 24, 10:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Morocco Home Win
69%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Morocco69%
Draw18%
Haiti13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)61%
Under 2.5 (0-2)39%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Morocco vs Haiti — Morocco Home Win: 69%. λ (Home): 2.28 · λ (Away): 0.87.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.