🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
New Zealand vs Egypt
Jun 22, 01:00 AM · BC Place
○ Normal PREDICTION
New Zealand Home Win
52%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
New Zealand52%
Draw25%
Egypt23%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)47%
Under 2.5 (0-2)53%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
New Zealand vs Egypt — New Zealand Home Win: 52%. λ (Home): 1.59 · λ (Away): 0.95.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.