🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Norway vs France
Jun 26, 07:00 PM · Gillette Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Norway Home Win
45%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Norway45%
Draw22%
France33%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)67%
Under 2.5 (0-2)33%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes67%
BTTS: No33%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.8%
1-0
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Norway vs France — Norway Home Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.85 · λ (Away): 1.58.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.