🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Norway vs Senegal
Jun 23, 12:00 AM · MetLife Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Norway Home Win
62%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Norway62%
Draw18%
Senegal20%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)73%
Under 2.5 (0-2)27%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes68%
BTTS: No32%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Norway vs Senegal — Norway Home Win: 62%. λ (Home): 2.46 · λ (Away): 1.36.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.