🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 2
Panama vs Croatia
Jun 23, 11:00 PM · BMO Field
○ Normal PREDICTION
Croatia Away Win
46%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Panama30%
Draw24%
Croatia46%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)56%
Under 2.5 (0-2)44%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes59%
BTTS: No41%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Panama vs Croatia — Croatia Away Win: 46%. λ (Home): 1.29 · λ (Away): 1.66.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.