🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Panama vs England
Jun 27, 09:00 PM · MetLife Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
England Away Win
63%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Panama16%
Draw22%
England63%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes48%
BTTS: No52%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Panama vs England — England Away Win: 63%. λ (Home): 0.82 · λ (Away): 1.91.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.