🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 3
Paraguay vs Australia
Jun 26, 02:00 AM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Paraguay Home Win
50%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Paraguay50%
Draw31%
Australia19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)26%
Under 2.5 (0-2)74%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes31%
BTTS: No69%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.9%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
7.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Paraguay vs Australia — Paraguay Home Win: 50%. λ (Home): 1.17 · λ (Away): 0.60.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.