🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Portugal vs Congo DR
Jun 17, 05:00 PM · NRG Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Portugal Home Win
78%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Portugal78%
Draw15%
Congo DR8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)60%
Under 2.5 (0-2)40%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes43%
BTTS: No57%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
13.7%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Portugal vs Congo DR — Portugal Home Win: 78%. λ (Home): 2.46 · λ (Away): 0.64.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.