goalence

🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Qatar vs Switzerland

Jun 13, 07:00 PM

🔥 ELITE PREDICTION

Switzerland Away Win

73%

Predicted score: 0-2

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Qatar11%
Draw16%
Switzerland73%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes54%
BTTS: No46%

Most Likely Scores

0-2

10.5%

1-2

9.3%

0-3

8.8%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Qatar vs SwitzerlandSwitzerland Away Win: 73%. λ (Home): 0.89 · λ (Away): 2.53.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.