🌍 World Cup · Group Stage - 1
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay
Jun 15, 10:00 PM · Hard Rock Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Uruguay Away Win
73%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Saudi Arabia1%
Draw26%
Uruguay73%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)17%
Under 2.5 (0-2)83%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes4%
BTTS: No96%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
33.1%
0-2
22.7%
0-3
10.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay — Uruguay Away Win: 73%. λ (Home): 0.05 · λ (Away): 1.37.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.